Data from the IMF. The aftermath of a big speculative bubble can really last a very long time...
3 comments:
Anonymous
said...
Low inflation is only a bad thing if you plan on blowing big debt bubbles up in sequence, it hurts most people to have their money constantly losing value. I'm really sick of inflation being considered a good thing.
Unemployment, poverty and wealth distribution are much more meaningful indicators of economic health or the lack thereof in my opinion.
The usual reason it's considered bad is that it indicates overcapacity in the economy relative to demand, and thus tends to go along with unemployment, etc.
There are important implications for the global economy. A protracted shortfall of the world’s biggest consumer, as well as weakness in Japan and debt-ravaged Europe, spells lasting pressure on external demand for export-led economies. Barring a quick rebalancing towards internal demand, so-called growth miracles in the developing world could be in for a rude awakening.
I'm a scientist and innovator in the technology industry, with a broad range of interests and experiences. I have a Physics PhD, MS in CS, and have done research, lived in cohousing communities, run a business, and designed technology products. Professionally, I have mainly worked on computer security problems, with a particular focus on computer malware control. Currently I mainly do expert witness work, and run a green property company. The blog represents my views only.
Email me at stuart -- at -- earlywarn -- dot -- org. I do read all email, but because the blog is a part-time unfunded enterprise, I often fail to reply due to lack of time - apologies.
3 comments:
Low inflation is only a bad thing if you plan on blowing big debt bubbles up in sequence, it hurts most people to have their money constantly losing value. I'm really sick of inflation being considered a good thing.
Unemployment, poverty and wealth distribution are much more meaningful indicators of economic health or the lack thereof in my opinion.
Adam:
The usual reason it's considered bad is that it indicates overcapacity in the economy relative to demand, and thus tends to go along with unemployment, etc.
From an article in today's Globe and Mail by Stephen Roach (Yale, Morgan Stanley Asia):
There are important implications for the global economy. A protracted shortfall of the world’s biggest consumer, as well as weakness in Japan and debt-ravaged Europe, spells lasting pressure on external demand for export-led economies. Barring a quick rebalancing towards internal demand, so-called growth miracles in the developing world could be in for a rude awakening.
Post a Comment