For discussion, see here. Very little has changed.
Thursday, July 11, 2013
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Rational Analysis of Global Civilizational Risk
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About Me
- Stuart Staniford
- I'm a scientist and innovator in the technology industry, with a broad range of interests and experiences. I have a Physics PhD, MS in CS, and have done research, lived in cohousing communities, run a business, and designed technology products. Professionally, I have mainly worked on computer security problems, with a particular focus on computer malware control. Currently I mainly do expert witness work, and run a green property company. The blog represents my views only. Email me at stuart -- at -- earlywarn -- dot -- org. I do read all email, but because the blog is a part-time unfunded enterprise, I often fail to reply due to lack of time - apologies.
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4 comments:
Extremely minor quibble: Technically the black 'average' line should not extend beyond the last data point for the green line.
Major quibble: I miss C&C
Still excellent
I now note that if I click on the top line I see the current and the previous post.
Plus ça change, plus c'est la même chose.
Robert - I extend the average line using the average delta's of whatever sources are available for the most recent months - ie it's the best possible estimate for where the average will be, based on the available data. All the data gets revised in any case, so the average shifts around over time. Also, C&C is in the second graph in this post.
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