The OPEC monthly report is out, and they concur with the IEA that there was a significant boost in July's oil supply (graph above). So apparently global oil supply is still recovering, notwithstanding the fall of the last few months, though I don't feel quite strong enough to bring back the graph with the linear extrapolation - at least not yet. It seems rather unclear what's happening.
Here's the larger context of the last decade, along with spot price (blue, right scale).
Friday, August 13, 2010
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EIA's latest shows an uptick in Saudi production in May.
An attack on Iran is looking more & more likely before next summer and at least some of the Arab states would like the US to deal the blow. I wonder if they will flood the market through out the period of likely hostilities. i.e. Abandon the $70+ plus target.
This piece is in depth & good.
The Point of No Return
March could be tense.
Weren't it for the debt, I am not sure we could afford 80 dollars per barrel. Stoneleigh says deflation is here, so the oil prices will go down, so investments will cease etc..
I would be interested in global debt chart, though it may be difficult to obtain...
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