Today's number for cases in NY is 15,168, a 46.5% increase over yesterday. I take this as confirmatory of my thesis about New York City. Above is an update of the graph from that piece showing the additional datum. It revises the blue line up a bit, and the red line down a bit, and advances the extrapolation a bit. It suggests the New York metro area currently is incubating somewhere in the mid to high six figures in infections.
Bare in mind the testing has been stepped up a lot recently. That might be inflating the apparent growth rate, when really it's just the that the starting number should have been higher.
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