tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235419263414453422.post6458651018680540495..comments2024-02-23T01:30:06.101-08:00Comments on Early Warning: A very short note on JapanStuart Stanifordhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07182839827506265860noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235419263414453422.post-82756987656273076542011-03-15T06:05:59.651-07:002011-03-15T06:05:59.651-07:00I only hope coal won't be the back up of choic...I only hope coal won't be the back up of choice. After reading news on Italy's PV growth - met the 2020 target of 8GW installed capacity by Q1 2011 - I was feeling a bit more positive. <br /><br />Then the earthquake struck.<br /><br />What next? <br /><br />I'm nervously looking at this:<br />http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=ar5A0UDALCRk&refer=home<br /><br />Next election is this April.Hypnoshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01409179274970587232noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235419263414453422.post-76020547571393066492011-03-15T05:06:09.718-07:002011-03-15T05:06:09.718-07:00Wow - now Germany has decided to close seven plant...Wow - now Germany has <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/16/world/europe/16euronuke.html?hp" rel="nofollow">decided</a> to close seven plants for a safety review. That suggests the implications of this incident for the future of nuclear power are very considerable.Stuart Stanifordhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07182839827506265860noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235419263414453422.post-51998023503485578122011-03-15T05:05:34.594-07:002011-03-15T05:05:34.594-07:00I've been less and less interested in "Th...I've been less and less interested in "TheAutomaticEarth" recently, but Alexander's right. Turns out Stoneleigh is actually pretty knowledgeable about nuclear plant safety (master's thesis on the topic, and worked in the field for awhile), and she did what looks (to a layman) like a pretty good description of the situation.<br /><br />It looks like they underestimated the intensity of an expected earthquake, and weren't prepared for such a large tsunami. It looks like the plant mostly survived the earthquake, but the tsunami took out the backup systems that the earthquake didn't.<br /><br />I suspect this will severely damage the nascent renaissance of nuclear power.kjmclarkhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00490417628052004621noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5235419263414453422.post-2648834762209571212011-03-15T04:40:18.459-07:002011-03-15T04:40:18.459-07:00Globally, nuclear power peaked in 2006 (MazamaScie...Globally, nuclear power peaked in 2006 (MazamaScience based on BP data). <br /><br />Current disaster will reduce nuclear output by another +10 GW.<br /><br />I guess nuclear industry is (or was) quite heavily subsidized by cheap oil... growth in the future is at least questionable, also given that this is highly complex technology and we are moving into simplified (less complex) society.<br /><br />Stoneleigh has nice article on Japan disaaster on TOD,<br /><br />cheersAlexander Achttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16845172528191878930noreply@blogger.com